Withdrawal rate of a DC pension
A DC pension is like a 401k in the USA. At least mine is, I have full
control in the sense that I buy a low-cost ETF every month and I can
login to check the current net worth of my portfolio. Most Americans striving for FI include their 401k in their net worth calculations. I do the same with my DC pension.
On specific websites like this one you can check how much
pension you can purchase from a lump sum that you have saved in your DC pension
throughout your working career. By modifying your date of birth you can mimic
different retirement ages. E.g. if you have €100,000, the best deal I can
currently find pays €5448/year from 68 years of age onward. Applying the
22.95% after-pension tax bracket will leave you €4198 in hand. In other words
you have a withdrawal rate of 4.2%. It is perfectly save as it will be paid until
you die. Nothing left for your heirs afterwards though. Sounds pretty similar to
the 4% you are supposed to maximally withdraw yearly from your personal stock account
after reaching FI.
Adding up the numbers
To see how far we are in the journey towards our FI number I add up our
emergency cash fund, our personal ETF position, AND the value
of the DC pension (consisting of an ETF). Like many, I consider
a 4% withdrawal rate on the total position safe. I could access the DC fund
earlier than at 68 but this will be taxed in a higher bracket so this is not the plan.
By the time we reach FI the personal stash is twice the size of the DC pension and there is around 15 years to bridge before the pension payments kick in. So if we would ignore the DC pension, I am
withdrawing 6% from the personal stash which has a 99% chance of being OK for 15 years in a 50% stock - 50% bond
portfolio according to the Trinity study. We’ll
be fine until the DC pension kicks in! At least the chance of dying at work accumulating more money is bigger than the chance of ever running out of money,
time to take the plunge! Especially considering the fact we are still ignoring
state pensions (AOW) and DB pensions we have as well. We just made the journey to
FI shorter!
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